US attacks Venezuelan ships again, investors adjust positions before Fed resolution Gold prices hit around 3685

Basic news

On Tuesday (September 16, Beijing time), spot gold trading was around $3,680/ounce, and gold prices hit a new record high of $3,685.47/ounce on Monday. Thanks to the weakening of the US dollar and the decline in US Treasury yields, investors adjusted their positions before the key Fed meeting this week. This meeting may set the tone for the rest of the year; U.S. crude oil trading was around $63.32/barrel, and oil prices climbed due to Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian oil refineries and U.S. President Trump pressured NATO countries to stop buying Russian oil.

Stock Market

The three major U.S. stock indexes closed higher on Monday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hitting record highs intraday, and investors are waiting for the Fed’s important policy meeting later this week.

Electronic car maker Tesla rose 3.6% after regulatory documents showed CEO Musk spent nearly $1 billion to increase his holdings in the www.xm-forex.company last Friday. Google's parent www.xm-forex.company Alphabet hit a record high with a market value of over $3 trillion.

The Federal Open Market www.xm-forex.committee (FOMC) will meet from September 16 to 17, which will dominate market sentiment this week. Recent economic data show that the labor market is weak, and the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points. "The market is betting on a 'blond girl' situation where the job market is just weak enough to prompt the Fed to launch a series of rate cuts," said Carol Schleif, chief investment officer at BMOFamilyOffice.It will not destroy overall economic growth. I think the market will be disappointed if the Fed does not imply that it will continue to cut interest rates. "On Monday, traders expect a 96% chance of a 25 basis point cut rate cut at this week's meeting.

Tesla's rise pushes the S&P 500 consumer discretionary sector up 1.1%, a record high in the past nine months. Alphabet drives the www.xm-forex.communications services sector up 2.33%.

Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.11% to 45,883.45 points; the S&P 500 rose 0.47% to 6,615.28 points; and the Nasdaq rose 0.94% to 22,348.75 points.

The three major Wall Street stock indexes recorded weekly gains in the previous trading day, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 hitting record highs intraday Friday due to technology-related Stocks remain strong. McDonald's and Procter & Gamble's declines dragged down the Dow.

Data center operator CoreWeave rose 7.6% after a deal with Nvidia guaranteed Nvidia would buy any remaining cloud capacity that was not sold to customers. The deal was initially worth $6.3 billion.

Gold market

Gold hit a record high on Monday, backed by a weaker dollar and lower U.S. Treasury yields, investors adjusted their positions ahead of a key Fed meeting this week, which could set the tone for the rest of the year.

Spot gold was $3,680.80 per ounce, up 1.1% and earlier hit $3,685.39 Record highs. U.S. gold futures for December delivery closed up 0.8% higher, with a settlement price of $3719.00.

The U.S. dollar index fell 0.3%, hitting a week's lowest, making gold more attractive to other currencies, with the indicator U.S. 10-year Treasury yields falling.

According to CME's FedWatch tool, the market is almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, which will be the first since December, and some believe it will cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Peter Grant, vice president and senior metals strategist at ZanerMetals, said, "At present, expectations of a 25 basis point cut have been basically digested," adding that the year There may be another one or two rate cuts before the bottom. He said the next upside target for gold in the short term is $3,700, then $3,730 and $3,743.

The Federal Reserve will hold a meeting under unusual pressure, and President Trump strives to exert greater influence on policy. The Senate also leaves room for Trump's economic adviser Milan to join the interest rate setting www.xm-forex.committee in time before the vote on Wednesday.

Spot silver was $42.62 per ounce, up 1.1%; platinum was $1,400.77, up 0.7%; palladium was $1,193.21, down 0.3%.

Oil market

Oil prices closed higher on Monday as investors assessed UkraineThe impact of Lan's drone attacks on Russian oil refineries and U.S. President Trump put pressure on NATO countries to stop buying Russian oil.

Brent crude oil futures closed up 0.67% to $67.44 per barrel; U.S. crude oil closed up 0.97% to $63.30 per barrel.

Price FuturesGroup senior analyst Phil Flynn said the attack on Russian oil infrastructure and the increasing pressure Trump put on Russian crude oil buyers boosted oil prices on Monday.

One of Russia's largest oil refineries in the northwestern town of Kirishi has stopped a critical processing device after being attacked by Ukrainian drones over the weekend, two industry sources said on Monday.

The two crude oil contracts rose more than 1% last week as Ukraine stepped up attacks on Russia's oil infrastructure, including attacks on Primorsk, the largest oil export terminal.

Primorsk can load about 1 million barrels of crude oil per day, while Kirishi refinery processes about 355,000 barrels of Russian crude oil per day, equivalent to 6.4% of the country's total crude oil.

Trump said on Saturday that the United States is ready to impose new energy sanctions on Russia, but only if all NATO countries stop buying Russian oil and implement similar measures.

Investors are waiting for the Federal Reserve to make an interest rate decision at its September 16-17 meeting, where the bank is expected to relax its monetary policy. Reduced borrowing costs may stimulate fuel demand.

The dollar's exchange rate against other currencies fell on Monday, which could stimulate crude oil demand, as a weaker dollar would lower oil prices to holders of other currencies.

Foreign exchange market

The dollar weakened across the board on Monday, with investors waiting for the Federal Reserve to resume interest rate cuts at this week's meeting, and US President Trump once again called for an accelerated easing of monetary policy.

Trump called on Monday to Fed Chairman Powell to lower the benchmark interest rate "a greater extent", and he also mentioned the real estate market.

According to CME's FedWatch tool, traders have www.xm-forex.completely digested the expectation of a 25 basis point rate cut at the Federal Open Market www.xm-forex.committee (FOMC) meeting on September 16 and 17, and also believed that the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is about 5%. "What we're seeing is a broad lack of confidence, and traders are relatively more willing to wait and see, waiting for the results of Wednesday's FOMC meeting," said Michael Brown, a market analyst at London-based online broker Pepperstone. "At the same time, market trends may be driven primarily by position adjustments and will last about a day or two." The dollar index fell 0.4%, hitting a low of 97.273 in the past week.

The US dollar fell 0.2% against the yen to 147.335 yen; the euro rose 0.3% against the US dollar to 1.1771. investorThe "dot map" forecasts of Fed policymakers and the guidance given by Powell will be analyzed to judge the extent and pace of further policy easing.

The economic forecast and press conference may emphasize that this is an 'insurance' rate cut and the pace of easing policy will remain gradual," Nomura analysts said in a report on Monday.

Investors will also focus on interest rate decisions in Japan, the United Kingdom, Canada and Norway later this week.

Both the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan are expected to keep interest rates unchanged, and analysts will focus on the Bank of England's plans to slow down its pace of government bond reductions, as well as the Bank of Japan's speeches that may provide clues about the possibility of interest rate hikes for the remainder of the year.

Fitch lowered France's sovereign credit rating late Friday over fears the government's debt burden continues to grow. The second largest economy in the euro zone lost its AA- rating. The euro was largely unaffected by the news on Monday.

Nick Rees, head of macro research at MonexEurope, said that the rating downgrade has been largely digested by the market in advance.

The data show that the speculative net long positions of the euro against the dollar continue to remain strong, rising to $18.4 billion in the week ended September 8, the most in nearly two years.

The Fed is expected to relax policy, while the prospect of further interest rate cuts by the ECB is bleak, which also supports the resilience of the euro. The pound rose 0.4% against the dollar, hitting its highest since early July of $1.3606.

International News

Maduro accused the United States of America of aggression: Venezuela refuses to be a "oil colony"

On September 15, local time, Venezuelan President Maduro said at a press conference that five weeks ago, Venezuela was threatened by missile ships and submarines, and faced the crisis of bombing, invasion and occupation. What the United States did to Venezuela was aggression, not simply tension in the situation. This is the United States' aggression on the judicial and political levels of Venezuela, which is entirely based on excuses and lies. Maduro emphasized that the so-called "Venezuela transports drugs" in the United States is a lie. All cocaine shipped to the United States and Europe www.xm-forex.comes from Colombia, and the United States legally produces synthetic supermarijuana and is not qualified to accuse the www.xm-forex.commission of the www.xm-forex.commission. The www.xm-forex.commission has always listed drug-related behaviors as illegal and will never legalize it. More than 100,000 people in the United States die from the influence of fentanyl and other drugs every year, but they fabricate lies involving the www.xm-forex.commission. Their real purpose is to "attempt to invade our country, impose colonial rule, and promote regime change to steal our country's huge oil and natural gas wealth", rather than to crack down on the drug trade.

Brazilian officials have not obtained a visa to attend the United States for the United Nations General Assembly

On the 15th local time, the Brazilian Foreign Ministry stated that due to tense trade and diplomatic relations with the U.S. government, Brazilian officials have not obtained a visa to the United Nations General Assembly and cannot participate in the general debate of the United Nations General Assembly held next week in New York. Pakistani Foreign Ministry officials said that the US refusal to issue a visa would constitute an "illegal act." UN Secretary-General spokesman Dugalick saidThe visa delay expresses concerns.

Trump says the United States attacks Venezuelan drug ship again

U.S. President Donald Trump said that the United States attacked the second drug ship from Venezuela, which shows his determination to continue to advance the attack. These attacks have exacerbated tensions between the United States and Venezuela and raised questions about its legitimacy. Trump wrote in a social media post that the U.S. military “has carried out a second kinetic strike against confirmed, extremely violent drug cartels and drug terrorists” in the area under the charge of the U.S. Southern www.xm-forex.command. "The crackdown occurred when these confirmed drug terrorists from Venezuela transported illegal drugs in international waters." The post was accompanied by a link to a video showing a ship undulating in unknown waters. After a few seconds, it was engulfed by a huge fireball.

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics recruits part-time jobs as CPI data collection information

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is recruiting price data collectors to collect data for a key inflation indicator. Due to the loss of staff, the indicator is increasingly relying on a statistical calculation method to fill the data gap. The agency has released recruitment information for 25 part-time economic assistants across the United States, and is responsible for collecting price data for the Consumer Price Index (CPI). Its work locations cover major metropolis such as New York, Los Angeles, Atlanta, and Chicago. These positions are essential for obtaining price information from local businesses. "If these positions can be filled quickly, the proportion of estimated prices in CPI is likely to drop significantly in the www.xm-forex.coming months, which will significantly reduce the error range of current estimates," said O'Mer Sharif, president of Inflation Insights LLC, an inflation research firm. BLS said in June this year that it has begun suspending price collection efforts in three metropolitan areas because the agency lacks sufficient resources in these areas.

OpenAI launches a new GPT-5 model for Codex programming agents

Codex is a solution launched by OpenAI for AI encoding agents such as GitHubCopilot and ClaudeCode. Today, it ushered in a major update. The core of this update is GPT-5-Codex, which is a version of OpenAI's latest GPT-5 model, which is optimized specifically for proxy software engineering. The new model itself is worth paying attention to, and the team has also added a series of new features to Codex. These features include: a rebuilt CodexCLI (now centered on proxy workflows); a new IDE extension that introduces Codex into tools such as VSCode, Cursor and other VSCode branches; integration with GitHub for code review; and workflow updates for Codex web versions. Codex can be accessed by users of OpenAIChatGPTPlus, Pro, Business, Edu and Enterprise packages, and the usage restrictions will be rooted.Adjust it according to the package you subscribe to. OpenAI clearly pointed out that the Plus, Edu and Business plans will cover "a few dedicated programming courses a week", while the Pro plan users can enjoy "full weekly working hours covering multiple projects"

The Ukrainian government approved the draft national budget for 2026

On September 15, local time, Ukrainian Prime Minister Sverykenko said that the Ukrainian government has approved the draft national budget for 2026 and will be submitted to the parliament for deliberation. The top priority of the budget is national defense security and social stability. The draft shows that the total budget expenditure in 2026 is 4.8 trillion hryvn (415 billion yuan from 2025), budget revenue is 2.826 trillion hryvn (446.8 billion yuan from 2025, an increase of 18.8%), and external financing demand will reach 2.79 trillion hryvn. National defense expenditure reached 2.8 trillion hryvn, accounting for 27.2% of GDP, and is used for military treatment, air defense construction and independent weapon research and development and production. In addition, the budget for social fields such as education, scientific research, and medical care has been increased, and 17.9 billion hryvn is allocated for veterans policy. The budget also covers agriculture, culture and other fields to help economic development and national reconstruction.

The United States lowers the import tariffs for Japanese automobiles

On the 15th local time, the Trump administration of the United States announced that the import tariffs on Japanese automobiles will be lowered to 15% from 0:1 Eastern Time on the 16th (13:1 Japanese time on the 16th).

Domestic News

Emerging market ETFs have been inflowing funds for the fifth consecutive week. China's money-making scale has firmly ranked first

Last week, investors continued to buy emerging market stocks and bond exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and funds flowed into such ETFs for the fifth consecutive week. Data shows that as of the week ended September 12, US listed emerging market ETFs invested in developing countries and specific countries had a total inflow of US$2.17 billion, www.xm-forex.compared with US$1.02 billion inflows the previous week. Total inflows so far this year is $19.8 billion. Stock ETFs inflowed $1.45 billion; bond ETFs inflowed $716.3 million; total assets increased from $422.3 billion to $437.5 billion. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index rose 3.9% last week to 1,325.73 points, the highest since July 22, 2021. By market perspective, China's capital inflows were the largest, at US$653.9 million, and Argentina's capital outflows were the largest, at US$6.99 million, headed by iSharesCoreMSCI Emerging Markets.

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