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The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as scheduled, and the U.S. dollar index returned to the 99 mark
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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Market www.xm-forex.commentary]: The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as scheduled, and the U.S. dollar index returned to the 99 mark." Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:
On October 30, in early Asian trading on Thursday, Beijing time, the U.S. dollar index was hovering around 99.03. In the early hours of Thursday morning, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell suppressed market expectations for another interest rate cut in December. The U.S. dollar index expanded its gains and finally closed up 0.41% at 99.14. U.S. bond yields consolidated at low levels, with the benchmark 10-year U.S. bond yield finally closing at 4.0760%, and the 2-year U.S. bond yield, which is sensitive to the Federal Reserve's policy interest rate, closing at 3.6040%. Although the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, the market digested Powell's www.xm-forex.comments on the future path of policy. Spot gold gave up all gains during the day and finally closed down 0.56% at US$3,930.61 per ounce; spot silver narrowed its gains and finally closed up 1.1% at US$47.57 per ounce. EIA data showed that crude oil inventories fell more than expected last week, the United States announced a new round of sanctions against Russia, and international oil prices ended three consecutive declines. WTI crude oil finally closed up 0.27% at US$60.21/barrel; Brent crude oil finally closed up 0.70% at US$64.20/barrel.
Analysis of major currency trends
U.S. dollar index: As of press time, the U.S. dollar is hovering around 99.03. The dollar received some boost after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday and reduced the Fed's balance sheet of mortgage-backed assets into long-term Treasuries ahead of December 1. Technically, a break below the 98.50 level would open the way to a test of the nearest support levels at 98.00–98.20.



Gold and crude oil market trend analysis
1) Gold market trend analysis
In the Asian market on Thursday, gold hovered around 3945.97. Gold's downside expanded as hopes of progress in U.S.-China trade talks dented its safe-haven appeal. Traders will be closely watching the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision later on Thursday.

2) Crude oil market trend analysis
On Thursday’s Asian session, crude oil was trading around 60.17. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)New reports showed www.xm-forex.commercial crude oil inventories fell by nearly 6.9 million barrels in the week ended October 24, while the American Petroleum Institute (API) reported a 4 million barrel draw on Tuesday. Inventories, at 416 million barrels, are currently about 6% below the five-year seasonal average. Gasoline and distillate inventories also contracted sharply, by 5.9 million barrels and 3.4 million barrels respectively, indicating stronger refining activity and healthy fuel demand.

Foreign exchange market transaction reminder on October 30, 2025
①Pending interest rate decision announced by the Bank of Japan
②14:30 Initial value of French third quarter GDP annual rate
③14:30 Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda holds a press conference
④16:00 Switzerland’s October KOF Economic Leading Indicator
⑤16:55 Germany’s Unemployment after Seasonal Adjustment in October Number of people and unemployment rate
⑥17:00 Initial value of Germany’s third quarter non-seasonally adjusted GDP annual rate
⑦18:00 Initial value of Eurozone’s third quarter GDP annual rate
⑧18:00 Euro Zone unemployment rate in September
⑨18:00 Euro zone industrial and economic sentiment index in October
⑩20:30 Number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week to October 25
20:30 Initial value of the annualized quarterly rate of real GDP in the United States in the third quarter
20:30 Initial value of the quarterly rate of real personal consumption expenditures in the third quarter of the United States
20:30 Annualized quarterly rate of the core PCE price index in the third quarter of the United States Initial value of interest rate
21:00 Initial value of German CPI monthly rate in October
21:15 European Central Bank announces interest rate decision
21:45 European Central Bank President Lagarde holds a press conference
21:55 Fed Governor Bowman delivers a pre-recorded speech
22:30 EIA natural gas inventories in the United States for the week to October 24
The next day at 01:15 the Federal Reserve's Los Angeles Gen gave a speech
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