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The U.S. Treasury Secretary rarely puts pressure on Japan to raise interest rates, and behind this is a conspiracy of "weak dollar"

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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Market Analysis]: The US Treasury Secretary rarely pressures Japan to raise interest rates, and behind it is a "weak dollar" conspiracy". Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:

On Tuesday (October 28), U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant publicly called on Japan to implement a "sound monetary policy" during his meeting with Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama. The U.S. Treasury Department emphasized in a statement after the meeting that a sound monetary policy formulation and transmission mechanism is crucial to stabilizing inflation expectations and preventing excessive exchange rate fluctuations.

Bessent specifically pointed out that Japan’s current economic situation is very different from when “Abenomics” was launched twelve years ago, implying that its monetary policy should also be adjusted accordingly. The remarks were interpreted by the market as the latest U.S. criticism of the Bank of Japan's slow pace of interest rate hikes, and briefly boosted the yen's exchange rate.

The Bank of Japan is deeply involved in domestic and foreign policy tug-of-war

Although Katayama Satsuki told the media after the meeting that the two sides did not directly discuss Japan’s monetary policy, Bessent’s speech once again triggered market expectations that the United States will continue to pressure Japan to accelerate currency tightening.

Japan’s domestic political environment also brings new challenges to the central bank. As the successor of "Abenomics", the new Prime Minister Takaichi Sanae has publicly called on the Bank of Japan to cooperate with the government to boost demand, which is regarded by analysts as a potential resistance to further interest rate increases.

Although the Bank of Japan has exited its decade-long large-scale stimulus policy in 2024 and www.xm-forex.completed two interest rate hikes before January this year, it still maintains borrowing costs at a low of 0.5%. Critics point out that the too-slow normalization of interest rates has led to continued weakness in the yen, pushing up import costs and overall inflation, and has become a major political problem.

High inflation and intensified differences in policy paths

The reason why Bessant made this statementCurrently, Japan's core inflation rate has exceeded the central bank's 2% policy target for more than three consecutive years. Food and raw material prices continue to rise, exacerbating some policy www.xm-forex.committee members' concerns about the price transmission mechanism.

However, Japan’s Minister of Economic Revitalization Yasuhin Kiuchi stated on Tuesday that a weak yen is “good” for the economy, showing that the government is still optimistic about the long-term depreciation of the yen and making the policy stance more www.xm-forex.complicated.

Analysts believe that the U.S. government may be pursuing a weak dollar policy to promote exports and indirectly pressure Japan to allow the yen to appreciate. Bessent has previously expressed support for Japan's accelerated normalization of monetary policy on multiple international occasions. He said at this month's IMF annual meeting that if Japan implements "appropriate monetary policy," the yen will naturally stabilize.

The prospect of raising interest rates is subject to internal and external uncertainties

Although Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda has expressed his willingness to continue raising interest rates, he also emphasized that considering the uncertainty caused by the slowdown in the U.S. economy and the Trump administration's tariff policy, Japan must advance interest rate adjustments prudently.

Some analysts pointed out: "To reverse the weakness of the yen, Japan can only achieve it through two paths: monetary intervention or monetary policy." But he also added, "The market generally expects the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates again in December or January next year, and then gradually increase interest rates to about 1%. And countries like Europe and the United States It is extremely difficult for Japan to raise interest rates to a high of 3%-4% like this.”

The U.S. dollar fell significantly against the yen on Tuesday, down about 0.46%. The market reaction was significant, pushing the U.S. dollar against the yen to fall sharply from the more than two-week high (153.25) hit on the previous trading day.

The above content is all about "[XM Foreign Exchange Market Analysis]: The US Treasury Secretary rarely pressures Japan to raise interest rates, and behind it is a "weak dollar" conspiracy". It is carefully www.xm-forex.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Foreign Exchange. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!

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The U.S. Treasury Secretary rarely puts pressure on Japan to raise interest rates, and behind this is a conspiracy of "weak dollar"

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Trusted by over 15 Million Traders

The Most Awarded Brokerfor a Reason

Easy Access to 1,400+ Global Assets

XM Forex Trading Platform

CATEGORIES

News

market analysis

The U.S. Treasury Secretary rarely puts pressure on Japan to raise interest rates, and behind this is a conspiracy of "weak dollar"

Related News

The Most Awarded Broker
for a Reason