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US dollar index below 98, Trump says if NATO stops purchasing Russian oil
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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Platform]: The US dollar index is below 98, and Trump says if NATO stops purchasing Russian oil." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
On September 15, in the early trading of Asian markets on Monday, Beijing time, the US dollar index hovered at 97.67. Last Friday, the US dollar index generally fluctuated, and finally closed slightly higher by 0.12% at 97.62 as the market waited for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision this Thursday. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.0700%, while the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 3.5620%. As Israeli air strikes on Qatar and Russian drones entered Polish airspace, the two major geopolitical conflicts escalated again. Spot gold broke through the historical peak of inflation adjustment in 1980, and rose for the fourth consecutive week, eventually closing up 0.26% to $3,643.06/ounce; spot silver hit a 14-year high of $42.26 per ounce, and finally closed up 1.53% to $42.16/ounce. The Ukrainian drone attack caused the largest port in western Russia to suspend loading, and international oil prices rose. WTI crude oil rose and fell, finally closing up 0.58% to $62.59 per barrel; Brent crude oil finally closed up 0.83% to $66.87 per barrel.
Analysis of major currency trends
Dollar Index: Moderate CPI and PPI inflation reports, and surge in initial unemployment claims, paved the way for the Fed to cut interest rates by at least 25 basis points at its September meeting. Concerns about the labor market and prices have led to a new low in the U.S. consumer confidence index, with long-term inflation expectations rising for two consecutive months. Technically, the US dollar index trades below the 50-day moving average (98.121) and the 200-day moving average (102.186), with resistance at 97.859 and support at 97.253. Break below this level may open to 97.109 and 96.377 (bottom on July 1).
Analysis of gold and crude oil market trends
1) Analysis of gold market trends
On the Asian session on Monday, gold hovered around 3633.64. Gold broke through $3,670 last week and entered the consolidation stage after hitting an all-time high. Next, the Fed's policy decision may determine whether gold has room for further growth, although it is already overbought from a technical perspective. Looking ahead to this week, the economic calendar can be called a "super week", and many major events will stir up the golden storm. On Monday, the New York manufacturing survey took the lead, revealing the pulsation of the regional economy; on Tuesday, the August retail sales report will test consumer resilience. On Wednesday, data on housing starts and building permits were released in August, following the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Canada; all eyes focused on Washington - the Federal Reserve's interest rate announcement and Powell press conference will determine the extent of interest rate cuts and the dovish tone. On Thursday, the U.S. weekly unemployment benefits and the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey took over after the UK bank policy decision; on Friday, the Japanese bank's decision concluded. This series of events not only tests the Fed's employment tilt, but may also amplify global liquidity expectations and promote further breakthroughs in gold.
2) Analysis of crude oil market trends
On the Asian session on Monday, crude oil trading around 62.54. Last Friday, oil prices suspended loadings due to Ukrainian drone attacks, but the gains were limited by concerns about U.S. demand; on Sunday, Trump urged Europe to impose sanctions on Russia, and Trump expressed his willingness to impose sanctions on Russia, and Europe must act in a www.xm-forex.commensurate manner with the United States.
Forex market trading reminder on September 15, 2025
17:00 Eurozone July seasonally adjusted trade account (100 million euros)
20:30 Canadian July wholesale sales monthly rate
20:30 US September New York Fed Manufacturing Index
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